UK government bonds and the pound have come under pressure amid the reported U-turn
A fellow Labour cabinet minister who known Rachel Reeves for a ‘long time’ has given an insight into exactly what type of person the Chancellor is amid reports she has abandoned plans to raise income tax at this monthās Budget. Ms Reeves had been expected to hike income tax, hinting as recently as Monday that the alternative would be ādeep cutsā to public investment.
But the Financial Times has reported that she has now abandoned those plans over fears they could anger both voters and backbench Labour MPs. While Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy would not be drawn into speculation over what Ms Reeves will announce in the upcoming Budget she was happy to share what approach she takes to promises made to the public.
She told BBC Breakfast: āWhat I can tell you is as somebody who sits around that Cabinet table, who has discussions with Rachel and has known her for a long time, is that she wonāt play fast and loose with peopleās money. She does take her promises seriously, and she will do everything that she can to make sure that those choices are the fairest possible choices.ā
Ms Nandy had earlier told Times Radio the Budget was āabout making the fairest possible choices so that we can help the economy to grow, and we can also ease the pain that people have been put through over the last decade-and-a-halfā.
UK government bonds and the pound have come under pressure amid the reported U-turn. The speculation sparked a sell-off of government bonds, also known as gilts, with yields on longer-term 30-year gilts up by 14 basis points to 5.37% in early trading, and the yield on 10-year gilts up 12 basis points at 4.56%.
The yield moves counter to the price of bonds. Sterling was also lower, falling 0.3% to 1.313 US dollars and 0.3% weaker at 1.128 euro.
Ben Zaranko, an economist at the Institute for Fiscal Studies think tank, meanwhile said the decision to back down on tax rises held āconsiderable risksā. This included a āgreater risk of damaging economic impactsā and that future U-turns could be more likely in future as a result of ālots of angry interest groupsā.
Prospect of a manifesto breach drew criticism
According to the Financial Times, the decision not to raise the tax was communicated to the Office for Budget Responsibility on Wednesday, when the Chancellor submitted a list of āmajor measuresā to be included in her Budget. An income tax rise would help her bridge a fiscal black hole estimated by some economists to be as much as Ā£50 billion, but it would also break Labourās clear manifesto pledge not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT.
The prospect of a manifesto breach drew criticism earlier this month from Labourās new deputy leader Lucy Powell, who said it would damage ātrust in politicsā. Having vowed not to return to āausterityā through deeper spending cuts, the Chancellor could now have to rely on increases in a wider range of smaller taxes if she is to stick to her self-imposed rules on debt and borrowing.
The Financial Times suggested that one option would also be to reduce income tax thresholds while keeping tax rates the same, which could raise billions of pounds for the Treasury. Ms Reeves began November with a speech in which she failed to rule out an income tax hike, having previously said that Labour would stick to its manifesto commitments.
On Monday she told the BBC that sticking to those commitments āwould require things like deep cuts in capital spendingā that could harm productivity growth. Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch said the reported U-turn was āgood (if true)ā.
In a post on X, she added: āBut one retreat doesnāt fix a Budget built on broken promises. Reeves must guarantee no new taxes on work, businesses, homes or pensions ā and she should go further by abolishing stamp duty.ā
Liberal Democrat deputy leader and Treasury spokeswoman Daisy Cooper described the move as an ā11th hour screeching U-turnā but said struggling families could be spared āyet another punch in the stomach Budgetā.
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